From time to time the industry publication the Thoroughbred Daily News will make a young horse a 'TDN Rising Star', indicating that according to their opinion, the horse is one with considerable upside. I decided to take a look at the awarding of this status and see if it had any bias, was truly predictive of subsequent performance, or if the status had no merit at all. From the TDN web site I got a hold of the 'Rising Stars' that were assigned between th e 1st of January 201