Byron Rogers
Inbreeding in Thoroughbreds....a tension between two coefficients
I woke up this morning to a tweet from Henry Field's Newgate Farm in Australia, outlining the success of Extremely Lucky in the Lightning...
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Byron Rogers
- Mar 6, 2020
- 5 min
Comedians, Death and racehorse selection
Predicting racehorse outcomes revolves around specialization of the data in order for data science to do its work.
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Byron Rogers
- Feb 3, 2020
- 7 min
Video Recognition and Cardiovascular parameters in prediction of Thoroughbred Racehorses
Using Google's AutoML Video recognition to learn what the cardio of an elite thoroughbred racehorse is
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Byron Rogers
- May 15, 2018
- 11 min
A.I. and Racehorses: Can you teach a computer to understand what a 'good cardio' looks like
Creating a convoluted neural network that when combined with biomechanical features and DNA markers results in a state of the art prediction
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Byron Rogers
- Apr 24, 2018
- 4 min
How inbreeding affects racing performance in Thoroughbreds
How does inbreeding affect racing performance in Thoroughbred racehorses. A study of 135,000 horses is completed to find out
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Byron Rogers
- Mar 7, 2017
- 3 min
Announcing BreezeUpIQ.com
Today I am pleased to announce the launch of BreezeUpIQ.com This project is the culmination of years of work, gathering data at major two...
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Byron Rogers
- Mar 5, 2017
- 2 min
Assortative Matings and Sire Production Class
I've been working on some new data models for the yearling sales season. The goal being that if the average sale has 3% Elite racehorses...
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Byron Rogers
- May 7, 2016
- 3 min
A machine learning algorithm has crushed the Kentucky Derby
For three years in a row, a machine learning algorithm that learned to predict off past results data provided by BrisNet, has crushed the...
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Byron Rogers
- May 28, 2015
- 4 min
Class Performance Index relative to other ratings
In my previous post I discussed how advantage at a yearling or two year old sale can be found by looking specifically at offspring out of...
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Byron Rogers
- May 24, 2015
- 7 min
How 'good' does a mare need to be as a race mare to produce a good horse?
In our last post we looked at a recent scientific study that detailed out the importance of the maternal line, in particular the race...
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Byron Rogers
- May 7, 2015
- 4 min
Potential role of maternal lineage in the thoroughbred breeding strategy
For some time now we have been of the opinion that there has been over selection of the paternal side of the pedigree and under...
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Byron Rogers
- Mar 26, 2015
- 4 min
How Predictive is the TDN 'Rising Star'?
From time to time the industry publication the Thoroughbred Daily News will make a young horse a 'TDN Rising Star', indicating that...
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Byron Rogers
- Mar 23, 2015
- 2 min
Prediction at 2YO in training sales
I stumbled over some stats that the Thoroughbred Daily News had done a while back where they had asked four companies that offer...
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Byron Rogers
- Feb 18, 2015
- 2 min
Relationship between body weight and racing class
Using anecdotal evidence, many racehorse trainers will tell you that bigger horses might tend to be less sound horses but they tend to be...
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Byron Rogers
- Sep 16, 2014
- 1 min
Ageism at Yearling Sales
With the help of data from the Blood Horse Marketwatch I wrote an article for the Australian magazine Bluebloods on the subject of the...
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Byron Rogers
- May 15, 2014
- 3 min
The relationship of Service Fee to Yearling Sale Averages
In my earlier post on using Machine Learning for Yearling Selection I mentioned that we looked at both the service fee that the stallion...
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Byron Rogers
- May 11, 2014
- 3 min
Are Triple Crown Winners getting slower?
Earlier this week in the Thoroughbred Daily News I wrote a letter to the editor in response to Bill Oppenheim's column. Bill pointed out...
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Byron Rogers
- Apr 28, 2014
- 12 min
Using Machine Learning to "Short List" at Yearling Sales
Watching the purchasing process that buyers undertake when they are at yearling sales is as much an observation of human prejudice and...
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Byron Rogers
- Mar 18, 2014
- 2 min
Cumulative Prospect Theory - Overestimating Success and Underestimating Risk in Thoroughbred Selecti
In any market where there is buying and selling, there is overestimation and underestimation of risk and reward by humans. The...
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Byron Rogers
- Jan 2, 2014
- 3 min
What are the Odds - Odds Ratio's at Yearling Sales
We are in Australia at the moment for the yearling sales series which kicks off next week at the Magic Millions in Queensland. In fact,...
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